Yellow | Vote Count Update (Teamster Election)

We will know who won after the west is tallied. Fred needs at the very least to split the vote 50/50. There are some 13000 votes from canada, that in 2011 went for hoffa by 85%

The west went for hoffa by over 60% in 2011. Not trying to burst any bubbles, but just stay grounded.

No matter what, hoffas grip on the union as his own personal piggy bank is greatly weakened, even if he squeaks one out. Ken Hall and Rome Alosie will most certainly be thrown out of the union, and they may roll over on hoffa.
 
There are some 13000 votes from canada, that in 2011 went for hoffa by 85%
Is 13,000 the number of members or the number of members who voted last election?

One big thing about the last election is that is really wasn't much of an election, there were only a handful of opponents, nowhere near a full slate and I'm not sure that they were even all on one slate.
 
Here's some spin on the election from the Vote No UPS Contract Facebook page...


Ok everyone, here is what needs to happen to secure a victory for Fred:

Right now the vote totals are Zuckerman-73716 Hoffa-67522. There are 59474 ballots to be counted. This puts the "magic number" at 100,357. If either candidate hits that total it is impossible for the other candidate to catch up.

Fred needs 26,640 votes to hit that number or 44.8% of the vote.

Hoffa needs 32,834 votes or 55.2% of the vote.

Last time around Hoffa carried the two remaining regions by 65.8%, however he lost 6.6% in his only winning region to date (the East), and so far to date he has lost 9.5% of his vote total from last election if you combine the three counted regions.

If we keep at the trend of 9.5% lost votes in the two remaining regions Hoffa will win the rest of the votes by 56.3%. If that happens Hoffa will win 31,073 votes to Zuckerman's 24,118. (This math includes the 9.28% of ballots that don't go towards either candidate, it went up .04% after the Central.)

This will put the grand totals at Zuckerman-97,834 and Hoffa-98,595.

761 votes separate the two. So if I'm off on my percentage by more than 1.1% in Fred's favor, Fred will just barely win. The number to watch the rest of the way is that percentage on the right for Fred. The further it stays above 44.8% the better the Mr. Zuckerman's chances are.

The projections of 62.5% in the Central were way off...and it's a shame. The Central did an amazing job, but getting that high of a number just wasn't a reality apparently. It's not high enough of a number to get a clear winner like we all hoped.

With all this math we shouldn't be discouraged. If we can just pull 45% of the remaining votes which was missed by only .7% in the Hoffa strong East Fred will be a close winner. Let's keep our heads up and get this done.

Go Fred!!!
:woohoo1::stirthepot:
 
Hoffa may limp to the finish line, but he is done. Hall, and Aloise will be thrown out of the union, and he will have 6 new vice presidents!

No matter how this vote turns out, it is a huge victory! Hoffa is a failed leader! His legacy will be the destruction of the CSPF, and corruption!
 
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