No accounting for inflation, modest growth, no raises, apples to apples. I'm not trying to be tricky here. I'm just trying to figure this whole thing out. I wish I knew how to attach these spreadsheets.
OBJECTIVE:
To determine how the financial aspects of FedEx Freight’s retirement plan compares with the retirement plan that is presently available to the drivers at UPS Freight.
There are inherent problems with this comparison. I will miss some of these issues but in the interest of fairness I will list the issues that I can think of.
Issues that make FedEx’s Pension more desirable:
• Inflation: This will have a greater effect on UPS pension because there is no allowance for growth.
• Growth: FedEx Freight’s pension is currently growing at 1%/quarter, which is low in historical standards, high for today’s standards, and increases the value of the pension over time.
• Ownership: FedEx Freight’s retirement package is entirely portable and can be rolled over, invested into annuity, etc. and passed on to your survivors.
• Investment: FedEx requires a driver to invest in their retirements to receive maximum company match. This requires drivers to focus some attention on their long-term financial goals.
• Income: Drivers who earn more money receive a more generous company pension and 401k investment.
Issues that make UPSF’s Pension more desirable:
• Predictable income: UPS Freight’s pension offers a predictable income for retirement.
• Ownership: UPS Freight drivers do not need to manage their retirement accounts because a union account director manages it for them.
• Investment: UPS drivers do not need to invest anything into their pension plan to receive maximum company pension.
• Income: Because UPS drivers are presently earning more per/hour&mile, this extra income can be invested today.
• Deflation: In this unlikely event, a defined benefit pension will be very beneficial.
Issues that will have an effect on either account:
• Inflation: While it will have a greater effect on the UPS Pension plan, it will also have an effect on the net value of every dollar. I did not adjust for inflation.
• Growth: If the market goes up and interest rates go up, the FedEx retirement package is better. If the market goes down and interest rates stay low, UPS Freight’s retirement offers stability and certainty.
Comparing Fed Ex Freight's pension with UPSF Pension Based on a 35 year old driver $50,000 income, no raises, 6% stock growth and 4.1% FedEx Pension growth. Investing guesstimated union dues in retirement account. Each driver invests 6% in a retirement account. After 30 years of employment:
UPSF:
$3,150/month pension payment, $250,429.72 in 401K
FXF:
$113,257.33 total pension, $250,429.72 (individual contribution)+ $146,084.00 (company match) in 401K, $59,268.37 (union dues invested in IRA) = total retirement package $569,039.43
The apples to apples difference is $3150/month versus $318,069.71 cash
Comparing Fed Ex Freight's pension with UPSF Pension Based on a 35 year old driver $75,000 income, no raises, 6% stock growth and 4.1% FedEx Pension growth. Investing guesstimated union dues in retirement account. Each driver invests 6% in a retirement account. After 30 years of employment:
UPSF:
$3,150/month pension payment, $375,644.58 in 401K
FXF:
$169,886 total pension, $375,644.58 (individual contribution)+ $219,126.01 (company match) in 401K, $59,268.37 (union dues invested in IRA) = total retirement package $823,924.26
The apples to apples difference is $3150/month versus $448,280.38 cash
Comparing Fed Ex Freight's pension with UPSF Pension Based on a 35 year old driver $100,000 income, no raises, 6% stock growth and 4.1% FedEx Pension growth. Investing guesstimated union dues in retirement account. Each driver invests 6% in a retirement account. After 30 years of employment:
UPSF:
$3,150/month pension payment, $500,859.44 in 401K
FXF:
$226,514.67 total pension, $500,859.44 (individual contribution)+ $292,168.01 (company match) in 401K, $59,268.37 (union dues invested in IRA) = total retirement package $1,078,810.49
The apples to apples difference is $3150/month versus $577,951.05 cash.
Even smallish increases in wages and income over time will have a more positive effect on FedEx's retirement plan and will have a reduced effect on UPSF freight's defined benefit pension. This is because the increased income will mean an increased investment into your retirement package.