Regardless of whether the private union pension tab forced on taxpayers is $86 billion or much larger, this bailout would not come close to making plans solvent. According to the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation (PBGC), the 50 plans with the highest levels of underfunding have $372 billion in combined underfunding, with total underfunding amounting to $673 billion.6
Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation, “Data Table Listing,” Table M-12, Concentration of Underfunding in PBGC-Insured Plans (1990–2017) Multiemployer Program.
The proposed $86 billion would be just a partial stop-gap until 2052, at which point most plans that received taxpayer bailouts will still fail, leaving current workers who will be retired in 2052 and beyond with pennies on the dollar in promised pension benefits.
Moreover, this bailout only covers the tip of the union pension iceberg as 96 percent of all workers with multiemployer pension plans have plans that are less than 60 percent funded, and 75 percent have plans that are less than 50 percent funded.7
Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation, “Data Table Listing,” Table M-13 Plans, Participants, and Funding of PBGC-Insured Plans by Funding Ratio (2017), Multiemployer Program.
It is only a matter of time before virtually all union pension plans fail and this bill—needing to conform to the limits of the reconciliation process necessary to pass this partisan package—only modestly kicks the can down the road with selective bailouts. In an analysis of a prior version of this union pension bailout, the CBO concluded that once taxpayer dollars dry up, the overwhelming majority of plans would still become insolvent.8
Across the United States, 10.8 million workers and retirees belong to about 1,400 multiemployer (union) pension plans.REF These plans are massively underfunded—having promis
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