So then dont get into the pension plans. There are a lot of teamster companies that are not in the pension plans. They have 401k's or stand alone pension plans. You are assuming that by organizing you have to participate in the funds. Thats just an ignorant assumption. When you do your research you need to do it all and not just cherry pick what will make your argument valid
Point taken. I was just running the numbers to see where they stand up compared to what the union guys I've spoken with have been promised. The entire point of my post is to let people look at those numbers and compare and contrast. Union run pension funds are insolvent in general nationwide and we can disagree on why they are insolvent but not the fact that they are insolvent. I don't want to get caught up in that and, frankly, I don't want my co-workers to get caught up in that either. My ignorance lies with not knowing everything and my argument supports what I do know. Cherry picking is really not fair considering that I ran the numbers using a 50,000 income and, using Warren Buffett's projections, a conservative stock market return.
At $75000 income, constant investment, 6% growth, you would have:
30 years: $855,224,
25 years: $596,592,
20 years: $403,326. Please note again that I did not consider dividends which can quite substantially alter the value of an investment... long term I also did not consider the company increasing their pension investment over time to max out @7% plus 3.5% match on your 401K. I didn't consider pay raises either.
If you wanted that to last 20 years and maintain the portfolio, even after only 20 years employment at FedEx Freight using the plan they offer now, you would have a pension payout of $2825/month for 20 years. Until you are 85 years old if you retire at 65. This is more generous than the present union contracts and your family keeps the remaining balance. It does require the driver to invest some into his or her own retirement. I was hardly cherry picking. I was just stating the facts that defined benefit pension plans don't work for a variety of reasons. Reasons that I stated. I wanted to give my fellow drivers a chance to understand. If that influences anyone either way, or if it influences what we drivers bring the to the table for negotiation if the union is voted in, that's probably better.
Facts are facts. Even the conservative numbers I ran on the initial post makes our pension plan superior to the pension plans that are offered to drivers at other carriers. Also, I did not mention the study that showed the average driver dies before they are 62 years old. I considered it immaterial but really, it seems pretty important if your're probably going to die before you see your pension anyway. At least with our plan the remaining balance reverts to your next-of-kin.