I'm confused with your asserting that I'm either naive, of guilty of spin. There is no spin involved. Just pointing out facts, regardless of whether I like them or not. The mistake in your analysis is the fact that not having a contract yet provides a simpler path than if you were under contract.
You claim it nearly impossible to decert. Some monumental task you must undertake ("almost impossible" were your words). But the truth is, if you currently have a majority (no matter how slim), your job is comparatively easier than those who organized. 30-50% comes easily, especially when you consider the fact that there will be zero scrutiny from the Company. They can't assist, but can certainly look the other way. There will also be no educational component for you to overcome.
As far as anyone agreeing,
no one else needs to agree on any of this. The drivers will ultimately decide. Spin it if you like, but that is the truth.
Not sure where I discussed
the impact of ULPs, appeals, support or any of the other nonsense you're talking about. I don't recall, beyond asking if there may be an appeal. Certainly an "on topic" question.
Back to your regularly scheduled rhetoric...