canaryinthemine
Retirement....The Job I Was Born To Have!
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Brother Canary, could you post the exact numbers you are speaking of please? You say 7 market adjustments over 30 years so what exact dates are you referring to? Example: starting date and ending date, dates of the 7 market adjustments, what markets are you referring to [US. Asia, German, etc], what specific market numbers are you using [ETFs, specific stocks, general numbers]?
But seeing as this is America, might I suggest any 30 years of the S&P500 or the DOW Industrial Average.
Gee,.....You're going to make me wear out my calculator batteries, Brother.......
Let's see,.....Market lost about half it's value in 2008,........we've had several "blips".......where 401(k)'s only "lost" a fourth of their value as recently as a few weeks ago,.......
Defined-contribution style retirement schemes took a big hit in September of 2001,.......
Conventional wisdom says that people investing in 401(k)'s actually "make out" when the market drops,.....because stock prices are lower....I don't know,....it looks like being in a race,......and they move the starting line back another 200 foot,...and say; "Start Again!"
The average participant in a defined-contribution "pension"......couldn't tell you a stock from a bond if one crawled up his leg and bit him on the Gluteous Maximus.........Note I said "average"......
The Average "investor" relies SOLELY on the prospectus issued by the investing firm......and the "advice" given him from people who can make commissions steering him certain ways....
Does any 401(k)-style investment firm have the ...average client's best interests at heart?........Or, is the.....average.....client looked upon as .....Sheep to be Sheared?
You can't get out of an employee-sponsored 401(k),..unless you quit or get fired.....IF you think you're "smart" enough,...you can go to a "self-directed" brokerage,...managed by the same investment firm,....
....but you can not get out of withdrawing from,...what I call.....Forced stock market participation.
Even if you quit or get fired,......the tax penalties are so onerous,....you're forced to.....DO something with YOUR money....in a hurry, I might add.........
And,......There is no Government-backed insurance like PBGC,...(...yes I know it's underfunded...sooner or later, a Class-Action lawsuit will be filed on behalf of MEPFs....Kind of like a willfull violation of mandatory funding laws).....
.....And in the Fine Print,.....401(k)'s say just that.....No guarantees,...Subject to the Vagaries of the Market....
...(...Which the "Average" participant DOES NOT understand......Talk about writing rules to....benefit the investing firms......AND Wall Street,...with all these new Sheep,...Oops! , I meant "investors"...)
I know you regard yourself as a canny investor,.....and that's good. Can you tell me what a 30 year rate of return ....for the AVERAGE investor is , currently? Would it be somewhere around the "stuff it in the mattress" level , after 30 years, and about 7 market "adjustments"?....Or 2%?.......3%?
Paltry figures to allow Wall Street to use your payroll deduction for 30 years, while they make 30%-40% off your money.......
401(k)'s,...in My Opinion,...are forced stock market participation,....to benefit investment firms and the stock market, with an influx of.....mandatory payroll deductions,......and a very low long-term rate of return......for the employee "participant"....